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Introduction Dave Martell,
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Fire Spread Models I |
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Cordy Tymstra, Government of TBA |
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Rob Bryce, TBA |
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Chris Bose, Self Similarity and Huygen's
Principle |
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Tanya Garcia, Smoothing and Bootstrapping the PROMETHEUS Fire
Growth Model |
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BREAK |
Fire Spread Models II |
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Kevin Tolhurst, Generalizing Dynamic Fire Spread Modeling - Lessons
from the development of |
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Petro Babak, Differential Equation Models for |
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John Braun, Fitting a Stochastic Spread Model to Data |
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LUNCH |
Stochastic Models and Spread Data |
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Gail Ivanoff, Optimal detection of a change-set in a spatial
Poisson process |
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Katherine Davies, Statistical Behaviour of a
Spatial Renewal Process |
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Steve Cumming,
On the spatial scale of process and inference for
landscape models |
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Doug McCrae,
Obtaining high-resolution data required for fire
behavior modelling |
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BREAK |
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Roundtable Discussion: Future Directions in Fire
Spread and Large Fire Management, Dave Martell, University of Toronto and Mike Wotton, Canadian Forest Service Fire growth modelling
BFOLDS |
Fire Behaviour and Fire
Weather Indices/Regional Level Analysis |
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Rob The Fire Behaviour
Knowledge Base – a “third way out” |
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Sylvia Esterby, UBC-Okanagan Classifying historical fire weather patterns |
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Doug Woolford, Exploring the Seasonality of Area Burned by |
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Jim Gould,
CSIRO Fire in dry eucalypt forest: fuel structure, fuel
dynamics and fire behaviour |
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Dinner and Informal
Discussions |
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Wind Modelling |
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Craig Miller,
Wind Storms: Types, Features and Modelling |
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Greg Kopp, The aerodynamics of wind-borne debris: application
to firebrands |
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BREAK |
Insects I |
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TBA |
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Barry Cooke, TBA |
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Bo Song, The Simulation of the Southern Pine Beetle Spot
Growth |
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Rich Fleming,
Spread with and without contagion: the spruce
budworm in |
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LUNCH |
Insects II |
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Ed Johnson,
Pacific Decadal Oscillation control of mountain pine
beetle outbreaks in western Canada |
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Sylvain Guichard, ENSIS-CSIRO A tale of two pest spread models: A cellular
automata population model, and a detailed individual-based model |
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BREAK |
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Round Table Discussion (Statistics and
Forestry) Charmaine Dean, Simon Fraser University |
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Wrap-Up Discussion - Future Directions John Braun, Charmaine
Dean, Dave Martell, Jim Gould |