THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2007

8:45- 9:00

Introduction 

 Dave Martell, University of Toronto

Fire Spread Models I

9:00- 9:30

Cordy Tymstra, Government of Alberta

TBA

9:30-10:00

Rob Bryce, Brandon University

TBA

10:00-10:15

Chris Bose, University of Victoria

Self Similarity and Huygen's Principle

10:15-10:30

Tanya Garcia, University of Neuchatel

Smoothing and Bootstrapping the PROMETHEUS Fire Growth Model

10:30-10:45

BREAK 

Fire Spread Models II

10:45-11:30

Kevin Tolhurst, University of Melbourne

Generalizing Dynamic Fire Spread Modeling - Lessons from the development of PHOENIX

11:30-11:45

Petro Babak, University of Alberta

Differential Equation Models for Forest Fires

11:45-12:00

John Braun, University of Western Ontario

Fitting a Stochastic Spread Model to Data

12:00- 1:15

LUNCH

Stochastic Models and Spread Data

1:15- 1:45

Gail Ivanoff, University of Ottawa

Optimal detection of a change-set in a spatial Poisson process

1:45- 2:00

Katherine Davies, University of Western Ontario

Statistical Behaviour of a Spatial Renewal Process

2:00- 2:30

Steve Cumming, Laval University

On the spatial scale of process and inference for landscape models

2:30- 2:45

Doug McCrae, Canadian Forest Service

Obtaining high-resolution data required for fire behavior modelling

2:45 - 3:00

BREAK

3:00- 4:00 

Roundtable Discussion: Future Directions in Fire Spread and Large Fire Management, Dave Martell, University of Toronto and Mike Wotton, Canadian Forest Service
Short Presentation: Wen-Bin Cui, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources

Fire growth modelling BFOLDS

Fire Behaviour and Fire Weather Indices/Regional Level Analysis

4:00- 4:30

Rob McAlpine, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources

The Fire Behaviour Knowledge Base – a “third way out”

4:30- 4:45

Sylvia Esterby, UBC-Okanagan

Classifying historical fire weather patterns

4:45- 5:00

Doug Woolford, University of Toronto

Exploring the Seasonality of Area Burned by Forest Fires in Ontario

5:00- 5:45

Jim Gould, CSIRO

Fire in dry eucalypt forest: fuel structure, fuel dynamics and fire behaviour

6:00

Dinner and Informal Discussions

 

 

 

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 24, 2007

Wind Modelling

9:00- 9:30

Craig Miller, University of Western Ontario 

Wind Storms: Types, Features and Modelling

9:30-10:00

Greg Kopp, University of Western Ontario  

The aerodynamics of wind-borne debris: application to firebrands

10:00-10:15

BREAK 

Insects I

10:15-10:45

Terry Shore, Canadian Forest Service

TBA

10:45-11:15

Barry Cooke, Canadian Forest Service

TBA

11:15-11:30

Bo Song, Clemson University

The Simulation of the Southern Pine Beetle Spot Growth

11:45-12:00

Rich Fleming, Canadian Forest Service

Spread with and without contagion: the spruce budworm in Ontario as a case study

12:00- 1:15

LUNCH

Insects II

1:15- 2:00

Ed Johnson, University of Calgary

Pacific Decadal Oscillation control of mountain pine beetle outbreaks in western Canada

2:00 – 2:45

Sylvain Guichard, ENSIS-CSIRO

A tale of two pest spread models: A cellular automata population model, and a detailed individual-based model

2:45 - 3:00

BREAK

3:00- 4:00 

Round Table Discussion (Statistics and Forestry)   

Charmaine Dean, Simon Fraser University

4:00- 4:30

Wrap-Up Discussion - Future Directions

John Braun, Charmaine Dean, Dave Martell, Jim Gould