$R_0$ may not tell everything: transient disease dynamics of some SIR models over patchy environments
Speaker:
Xingfu Zou, Western University
Date and Time:
Tuesday, October 10, 2023 - 2:30pm to 3:30pm
Location:
Online
Abstract:
In this talk, I will report a recent work on short-term or transient dynamics of some SIR infectious disease models over patch environments. Employing the measurements of reactivity of equilibrium and amplification rates previously used in ecology to study the responses of an ecological system to perturbations to an equilibrium, we analyze the impact of the dispersals/travels between patches, spatial heterogeneity and other disease-related parameters on short-term dynamics of these spatial disease models. This is in contrast to most existing works on modelling the dynamics of infectious disease which are only interested in long-term disease dynamics in terms of the basic reproduction number.